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Calculated Chaos: Sunday MLB Betting Picks & Lineup Edges — May 18, 2025

Good morning, #WildcardCrew. The coffee’s hot, the data’s hotter, and Vegas is tossing up soft lobs we’re ready to park on the concourse. Let’s paint the edges, swing for value, and keep that bankroll tempo steady. Bet smart. Bet big. Bet wild. Our card is built on one simple creed: smash soft lines where the math and the vibes align. The Jays headline the ticket because rookie Jackson Jobe is walking 11 % of hitters in Triple-A and now faces Toronto’s top-five hard-hit lineup in a park that boosts right-hand pull power. My model pins them at -138, so we gobble the market’s tasty –120.

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