Full-Court Fever: Monday’s Twin Bill on The Edge

Game 4s are pressure cookers—one team hunts the broom, the other fights like cornered coyotes. Tonight we ride that energy through South Beach and splash down in the Bay, squeezing every drop of value from spreads, props, and parlays while keeping bankroll discipline at the forefront.

Quick-Fire Slate Snapshot

Time (ET)	Match-Up	Market Line	Wegs’ Angle
7:30 PM	Cavs @ Heat	ML CLE ≈ -410Alt Spread CLE -5 (-150)	Sweep vibes; Heat depth evaporated. Target Cavs ML or trimmed alt spread, lean 1H Under.
10:00 PM	Rockets @ Warriors	GSW -4	Post-loss Curry revenge + Houston half-court sludge. Lay the chalk, lean full-game Under 202.5.

Game 1 · Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat

Why Cleveland Still Has the Match-Up Edge

1. Interior Wall – Allen & Mobley own the glass (combined 24.9 REB this series). Bam’s rebound share slides from 24 % season-long to 19 %.

2. Bench Blackout – No Rozier, no Love; Spoelstra’s using three rookies >15 min. Offensive rating of those units: 89.7.

3. Mitchell the Finisher – Don flexes a 34 % usage in elimination spots; potential-assist rate drops, meaning buckets > dishes.

Favorite Individual Plays

Market	Line (DK)	Edge	Units
Tyler Herro O 4.5 AST (+100)	58 %	Heat run Herro-Bam DHO on 38 % of sets without Rozier.	0.75
Donovan Mitchell U 5.5 AST (-145)	66 %	Shot-first mode.	1
Jarrett Allen O 10.5 REB (-105)	61 %	Miami mid-range bricks fall right into his mitts.	1
Max Strus O 2.5 3PM (+130)	55 %	8.8 attempts per game—plus-money variance is our friend.	0.5

“Sweep the Sand” Safe Parlay (+220)

• Low-Octane: Cavs ML + Allen 8+ REB + Game Under 214.5 Alt

• 0.75 U – pays a modest booster while fading Miami’s sputtering pace.

Game 2 · Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors

Why the Dubs Should Bounce Back

1. Splash-Back Trend – Steph off a loss & ≤15 FGA = +4.8 extra shots next game, +2.1 made threes.

2. Double-Team Clinic – Warriors trap Sengün on 63 % of post touches; Houston’s ORtg plummets to 0.94 on those possessions.

3. Defensive Grind – Series pace 90.4; Rockets’ eFG 43.8 %. Unders have cashed 2-of-3.

Favorite Individual Plays

Market	Line	Edge	Units
Steph Curry O 4.5 3PM (-110)	59 %	Heaves ~13.7 attempts in this spot.	1
Steph Curry U 5.5 AST (+100)	62 %	Usage spike steals dimes.	0.75
Sengün U 19.5 PTS (-110)	61 %	Warriors’ aggressive digs = forced kick-outs.	1
Draymond Green O 6.5 REB (-125)	57 %	Sengün pulled outside leaves boards for Dray.	0.75

“Splash & Smash” Safe Parlay (+260)

• Medium risk: Warriors ML + Curry 4+ Threes + Sengün U 23.5 Alt Pts*

• 1 U to win a double-up, anchored to correlated Curry surge/Sengün fade.

*Alt under protects against late garbage buckets.

High-Voltage Same-Game Plus (Wild-Card Mode)

Feel like living a little? Try the cross-game SGPx below—sprinkle only what you can laugh off:

+1250 Four-Legger Cavs ML Allen 10+ REB Curry 5+ Threes Warriors -2.5 Alt Spread

Responsible Edge

Treat wagering like seasoning—not the steak.

• Bankroll = Discretionary cash you’re cool never seeing again.

• Flat-Stake Core – keep most plays 0.5–1 U, bonus parlays ≤0.25 U.

• Time-Outs Matter – Step away after you’ve locked action; don’t chase.

• Need help? 1-800-GAMBLER is always open.

Final Whistle

Brooms hover in Miami, splash-zones form in San Fran, and value hides in the prop crevices rather than the bloated spreads. Grind smart, stake small, and enjoy the fireworks.

Bet Big. Stay Wild. – Wegs Benedict

(Analytics for entertainment only. Lines move—shop around. Play responsibly.)